Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#143
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#150
Pace65.9#209
Improvement+4.6#25

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#164
Improvement+3.9#40

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#137
Improvement+0.7#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 329   St. Francis (PA) W 65-58 94%     1 - 0 -8.7 -12.5 +4.2
  Nov 15, 2012 29   North Carolina St. L 55-72 16%     1 - 1 -4.8 -13.6 +8.2
  Nov 16, 2012 63   Providence W 55-52 OT 28%     2 - 1 +10.8 -8.1 +19.2
  Nov 18, 2012 56   Akron L 60-85 25%     2 - 2 -16.3 -0.5 -18.5
  Nov 23, 2012 61   Bucknell W 60-57 38%     3 - 2 +7.8 -2.3 +10.5
  Nov 28, 2012 93   Boston College L 61-73 49%     3 - 3 -10.2 -12.4 +1.9
  Dec 01, 2012 244   Penn W 58-47 81%     4 - 3 +3.1 -8.5 +13.1
  Dec 05, 2012 55   @ La Salle L 57-82 16%     4 - 4 -12.9 -0.5 -16.9
  Dec 08, 2012 152   Army W 78-70 65%     5 - 4 +5.5 -2.0 +7.1
  Dec 15, 2012 283   Delaware St. W 80-76 OT 87%     6 - 4 -6.7 -2.6 -4.3
  Dec 23, 2012 262   New Hampshire W 72-45 84%     7 - 4 +18.0 +1.0 +18.0
  Dec 29, 2012 240   Duquesne W 84-74 81%     8 - 4 +2.2 -1.6 +2.9
  Jan 03, 2013 14   @ Wisconsin L 51-60 7%     8 - 5 0 - 1 +9.4 -3.0 +11.3
  Jan 07, 2013 3   Indiana L 51-74 8%     8 - 6 0 - 2 -6.2 -16.8 +10.6
  Jan 10, 2013 125   Northwestern L 54-70 58%     8 - 7 0 - 3 -16.5 -12.7 -5.8
  Jan 13, 2013 73   @ Purdue L 42-60 20%     8 - 8 0 - 4 -7.7 -21.6 +13.0
  Jan 16, 2013 10   Michigan St. L 72-81 16%     8 - 9 0 - 5 +3.3 +7.9 -4.8
  Jan 19, 2013 123   Nebraska L 64-68 57%     8 - 10 0 - 6 -4.4 -5.8 +1.3
  Jan 23, 2013 3   @ Indiana L 49-72 3%     8 - 11 0 - 7 +0.3 -13.6 +13.1
  Jan 26, 2013 7   Ohio St. L 51-65 14%     8 - 12 0 - 8 -0.6 -6.6 +3.7
  Jan 31, 2013 36   @ Iowa L 67-76 11%     8 - 13 0 - 9 +5.6 +1.8 +4.0
  Feb 05, 2013 73   Purdue L 49-58 41%     8 - 14 0 - 10 -5.2 -17.2 +11.5
  Feb 09, 2013 123   @ Nebraska L 53-67 33%     8 - 15 0 - 11 -7.9 -11.7 +2.8
  Feb 14, 2013 36   Iowa L 72-74 26%     8 - 16 0 - 12 +6.2 +7.5 -1.4
  Feb 17, 2013 9   @ Michigan L 71-79 6%     8 - 17 0 - 13 +11.3 +7.5 +3.4
  Feb 21, 2013 48   @ Illinois L 59-64 14%     8 - 18 0 - 14 +8.2 -1.9 +9.6
  Feb 27, 2013 9   Michigan W 84-78 15%     9 - 18 1 - 14 +18.9 +14.3 +4.6
  Mar 02, 2013 27   @ Minnesota L 44-73 10%     9 - 19 1 - 15 -13.4 -18.3 +3.0
  Mar 07, 2013 125   @ Northwestern W 66-59 33%     10 - 19 2 - 15 +13.0 -1.0 +14.2
  Mar 10, 2013 14   Wisconsin L 60-63 17%     10 - 20 2 - 16 +8.9 +6.6 +1.8
  Mar 14, 2013 9   Michigan L 66-83 9%     10 - 21 -0.9 +3.9 -6.5
Projected Record 10.0 - 21.0 2.0 - 16.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%